Last Updated Jul 11, 2017
What's New News Archives
Recession Indicator New!

May: The Recession Indicator is 4.6%(10/Jul/17)

Japanese Economy Update by Jun Saito New!

Wages rise where it should: Market mechanism at work (11/Jul/17)

JCER/Nikkei Consensus Survey on Asian Economies New!

"Growth Prospects Steady as Trump Risks Recede" (10/Jul/17)
Economists predict continued steady growth for 2017 and beyond. Amid Range of Concerns, Attention Turns to Geopolitics. The article of the survey on the Nikkei Asian Review is from here.

ESP forecast New!

Real GDP Growth Outlook for 2nd Quarter 2017 Revised Upward to 1.9%(10/Jul/17)

Japan Financial Research New!

BOJ's ETF Purchases Expanding Steadily - How long will the BOJ hold risky assets with no maturity? (6/Jul/17)

JCER Monthly GDP Estimate New!

Japan's GDP bounced back in May: JCER (5/Jul/17)

Public Financial Burden of the Fukushima Nuclear Accident

Accident Cleanup Costs May Rise to 50-70 Trillion Yen
--It's Time to Examine legal liquidation of TEPCO
--Higher Transparency is Needed for the Reasons to Maintaining Nuclear Power
(7/Mar/17)

"Global Leadership Award" was presented to US Vice President

The Mt. Fuji Dialogue, an intellectual exchange program co-organized by JCER and the Japan Institute of International Affairs, presented the Global Leadership Award to His Excellency Michael R. Pence, the 48th Vice President of the United States.Our statement is here.(19/Apr/17)

Asian Economic Policy Review (AEPR)

The 25th conference of Asian Economic Policy Review (AEPR) was held in Tokyo on April 8, 2017 and the issues on "Four Years of Abenomics: Did it Succeed?" were discussed. The working papers are here. (10/Apr/17)

'Toward a Greater Alliance'

A Policy Proposal of the Mt. Fuji Dialogue Special Task Force (5/Apr/17)

JCER's revised short-term forecast for China and four major Southeast Asian countries was carried in the Nikkei Asian Review. (28/Feb/17)

Medium Term Forecast

The 43rd Medium-Term Economic Forecast for the Japanese Economy: FY2016-FY2030 (Baseline scenario) The Japanese Economy to Plunge to Zero Growth- The Economy Caught in a "Bearish Trap" (14/Nov/16)

Asian Economic Forecasts: 2016-2030

JCER released its first Medium-Term Asian Economic Forecast for 2016-30.
The summary of the forecast and the related reports are found here. (31/Oct/16)
The forecast was carried in the Nikkei Asian Review. Please visit here. (28/Sep/16)

AEPR meeting on "China's Financial Transformation"

The 24th conference of Asian Economic Policy Review (AEPR) was held in Tokyo in October, 2016 and the issues on "China's Financial Transformation" were discussed. The working papers are here. The conference was reported in the Nikkei Asian Review. The article is here. (27/Oct/16)

JCER's revised middle-term forecast for China and four major Southeast Asian countries was carried in the Nikkei Asian Review website. (28/Sep/16)

JCER's latest North Korea report was carried in the Nikkei Asian Review website. (7/Sep/16)

JCER's latest North Korea report was carried in the Nikkei Asian Review website. (30/Aug/16)

Building an ICT-driven economy & society

Potential of Investments in Information and Communications Technology-- Using ICT for Interaction with Customers Is Key (27/Jul/16)

JCER's revised short-term forecast for China and four major Southeast Asian countries was carried in the Nikkei Asian Review website. (27/Jul/16)

The articles were carried in the "Discuss Japan" web magazine.

• The Bank of Japan Can Continue Quantitative and Qualitative Monetary Easing for Only Two More Years: The Adoption of Negative Interest Rates Is Proposed
——Eliminating the Zero Lower Bound is Crucial

by IWATA Kazumasa, President of the Japan Center for Economic Research
• Interview: Preventing Deflationary Pressure from Flaring Up Again
—— Investors Placing Funds in Assets Other Than Government Bonds

by IWATA Kazumasa, President of the Japan Center for Economic Research (5/Jun/16)

The article was carried in the Nikkei Asian Review website.

Efforts to foster fintech entrepreneurs get rolling (24/Jun/16)

Policy Proposal

Time schedule for tax and social security reform should be prepared within two years (27/APR/16)

The new report analyzes the politics, the economies and the foreign policies of North Korea under Kim Jong-un's regime. It also refers to the situation and future prospects of Japan-South Korea relations. The report is an outcome of JCER's special project last year, which leading experts on the issues joined from Japan and South Korea. Latest information is added. (10/May/2016)

The article was carried in the Nikkei Asian Review website.

Cambodia making a play for more factories (22/Jan/16)

The article was carried in the Nikkei Asian Review website.

Companies flee Bangkok in search of cheap labor (21/Jan/16)

The article was carried in the Nikkei Asian Review website.

In need of foreign funds, North Korea courts tourists (17/Dec/15)

The article was carried in the Nikkei Asian Review website.

In an economic bind, Pyongyang dances around reform (26/Nov/15)

The article was carried in the Nikkei Asian Review website.

US rate hike won't derail Asian growth (7/Jan/16)

JCER Seminar: Japan's Economic Prospects 2015

Can a Nation Survive with a Shrinking Population? Jun Saito (27/Oct/15)

JCER Staff Report

Alternative Estimates of China's GDP Deflator: 2015Q3 Update (28/Oct/15)
The estimates of China's GDP deflator and real GDP growth are updated based the July-September data.

China's True Growth Rate: Is It Really 7%? (15/Oct/15)
JCER's own estimates for the controversial China's GDP are different from the figures officially announced by the Chinese government. The GDP growth for April June may be 4.8-6.5%, not 7%. The coverage of the report by the Nikkei Asian Review is found here.

Asia Research Report

ASEAN Economic Integration-How Much Progress Has Been Made ? (4/Jun/15)

Vision 2050

60% Reduction in CO2 Emissions by 2050 Relative to 2005 is Achievable (26/Mar/15)
--30% reduction --matching U.S. Target--by 2030
--Japan must lead international debate on the prevention of global warming

Joint Proposals: Tokyo Financial City Vision

Vitalizing Japan' s Financial and Capital Markets as a Pillar to the New Growth Strategy (16/May/14)
Outline / Joint Proposals

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