Japan Center for Economic Research
Last Updated Oct 6, 2015
What's New
Japanese Economy Update by Jun Saito New!

Agenda for the Second Stage of Abenomics (6/Oct/15)

Chine's GDP growth may be 4.8-6.5%, not 7% for April-June New!

JCER announced its own estimates for the controversial China's GDP figures. The estimates are different from the figures officially made by the Chinese government. The report was covered by the Nikkei Asian Review.

Asian Economy Forecast: China's Growth 6.8%, ASEAN4 4.4% for 2015 New!

JCER revised its short-term forecast for China and four major Southeast Asian countries. Figures were changed downward from the previous ones reflecting the slowdown of the Chinese economy. The forecast was reported in the Nikkei Asian Review.

World Business Climate Index

July: The world economy remains at a standstill without notable change--China's economic downturn was halted for now (17/September/15)

Medium Term Forecast

The 42nd Medium-Term Forecast for the Japanese Economy: FY2015-FY2030 (Baseline Scenario) (10/Sep/15)

ESP Forecast

Real Private Consumption Projection for 2015 at 0.42%--Weaker Outlook for Growth and Inflation (7/Sep/15)

Short-term Forecast

No.163 Quarterly Forecast of the Japanese Economy [2015/7-9---2017/1-3] (7/Sep/15)
Summary added on September 7, 2015.

Policy School by Heizo Takenaka

Parsing Japan's latest fiscal and economic blueprint

Asian Economic Forecasts: 2015-2025

JCER released its first Medium-Term Asian Economic Forecast for 2015-25. China's growth rate could fall to 4.1% by 2025 and the downtrend will put a drag on four major Southeast Asian economies, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines and Thailand. The economic integration in the region and the economic reforms are necessary for sustainable growth, it stressed.
The summary of the forecast and the related reports are found here. (17/July/2015)
The forecast was carried in the Nikkei Asian Review. Please visit here. (22/July/2015)

Asian Economic Policy Review (AEPR) New Issue

The new issue (Vol. 10, No 2) on "Social Security in Aging Asia" was issued. (17/July/15)

JCER Seminar: Japan's Economic Prospects 2015

The challenge in achieving fiscal reconstruction and the transition of demographic trends Susumu Kuwahara (26/Jun/15)

Asia Research Report

ASEAN Economic Integration-How Much Progress Has Been Made ? (4/Jun/15)

JCER Seminar: Japan's Economic Prospects 2015

The First Arrow of Abenomics: Has QQE been exerting its intended effects? Ikuko Samikawa (27/May/15)

The 21st AEPR conference on "The Economics of Sports in Asia" was held in Tokyo in April, 2015. The conference was reported in the Nikkei Asian Review. The article is here. The working papers proposed are found here.

Vision 2050

60% Reduction in CO2 Emissions by 2050 Relative to 2005 is Achievable (26/Mar/15)
--30% reduction --matching U.S. Target--by 2030
--Japan must lead international debate on the prevention of global warming

Japan Financial Report

"Regional Finance in an Age of Population Decline"
"Plunge in New Housing Starts Means Existing Homes Market Expansion Is Key"

Pan Asia-Pacific conference on "Social Security in Aging Asia"

The conference was held as part of a series of biannual meetings to publish the "Asian Economic Policy Review" . About 25 top-level scholars and experts discussed the region's important challenges. It is reported in the media. The proposed working papers are found here.(24/Oct/14)

Speech by Dr. Simon Potter,Executive Vice President of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York

"Implementation of Open Market Operations in a Time of Transition" (25/Sep/14)

International Conference

An international conference entitled "Abenomics - stock-taking and lessons for the EU" is held on Oct. 8th, by Bruegel, a European think tank located in Brussels. President of JCER, Mr. Kazumasa Iwata attends this conference as a speaker. (25/Sep/14)

Joint Proposals: Tokyo Financial City Vision

Vitalizing Japan' s Financial and Capital Markets as a Pillar to the New Growth Strategy (16/May/14)
Outline / Joint Proposals

Discussion Paper

Differentiated Use of Small Business Credit Scoring by Relationship Lenders and Transactional Lenders: Evidence from Firm-Bank Matched Data in Japan
Arito Ono, Ryo Hasumi, Hideaki Hirata (17/Apr/14)

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