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Last Updated Feb 10, 2016
What's New
ESP Forecast New!

Negative Growth in Q4 of 2015 on Ongoing Recovery -- Downward Revision of Growth, Inflation and Stock Price (10/Feb/16)

Japanese Economy Update by Jun Saito New!

What Should We Make of the QQE-NIR? (9/Feb/16)

JCER Monthly GDP Estimate New!

"Japan's GDP contracted 1.1% in December " (2/FEB/16)

Asian Economic Forecast: China's Growth 6.4%, ASEAN4 4.3% for 2016 New!

JCER's revised short-term forecast for China and four major Southeast Asian countries was carried in the Nikkei Asian Review website.
China's growth to slow to 6.4% this year, think tank says (28/Jan/2016)

Asian Economic Policy Review (AEPR)

The January 2016 issue of AEPR (Vol. 11, Issue 1) on "the Economics of Sport in Asia" was published. Visit here for more information. (2/Feb/16)

Japan Financial Report

"Risks from Extending the QQE Policy -Bank of Japan's JGB Purchases to reach Limits in June 2017" (27/JAN/16)

The article was carried in the Nikkei Asian Review website.

Cambodia making a play for more factories (22/Jan/16)

The article was carried in the Nikkei Asian Review website.

In an economic bind, Pyongyang dances around reform (26/Nov/15)

The article was carried in the Nikkei Asian Review website.

In need of foreign funds, North Korea courts tourists (17/Dec/15)

The article was carried in the Nikkei Asian Review website.

Companies flee Bangkok in search of cheap labor (21/Jan/16)

World Business Climate Index

November: World climate still remains "rainy"--Resource-rich countries weakened, and the US is in a slump in mining (15/January/16)

Medium Term Forecast

The 42nd Medium-Term Forecast for the Japanese Economy: FY2015-FY2030 (Reform Scenario) (15/Jan/16)

The article was carried in the Nikkei Asian Review website.

US rate hike won't derail Asian growth (7/Jan/16)

Short-term Forecast

Summary of No.164 Quarterly Forecast [2015/10-12---2018/1-3] (3/Dec/15)
Summary added on December 3, 2015.

The 22nd AEPR conference on "Connectivity and Infrastructure" was held in Tokyo in October, 2015. The conference was reported in the Nikkei Asian Review. The article is here. The working papers proposed are found here. (5/Nov/15)

JCER Seminar: Japan's Economic Prospects 2015

Can a Nation Survive with a Shrinking Population? Jun Saito (27/Oct/15)

JCER Staff Report

Alternative Estimates of China's GDP Deflator: 2015Q3 Update (28/Oct/15)
The estimates of China's GDP deflator and real GDP growth are updated based the July-September data.

China's True Growth Rate: Is It Really 7%? (15/Oct/15)
JCER's own estimates for the controversial China's GDP are different from the figures officially announced by the Chinese government. The GDP growth for April June may be 4.8-6.5%, not 7%. The coverage of the report by the Nikkei Asian Review is found here.

Policy School by Heizo Takenaka

Parsing Japan's latest fiscal and economic blueprint
(3/Aug/15)

Asian Economic Forecasts: 2015-2025

JCER released its first Medium-Term Asian Economic Forecast for 2015-25. China's growth rate could fall to 4.1% by 2025 and the downtrend will put a drag on four major Southeast Asian economies, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines and Thailand. The economic integration in the region and the economic reforms are necessary for sustainable growth, it stressed.
The summary of the forecast and the related reports are found here. (17/July/2015)
The forecast was carried in the Nikkei Asian Review. Please visit here. (22/July/2015)

Asia Research Report

ASEAN Economic Integration-How Much Progress Has Been Made ? (4/Jun/15)

Vision 2050

60% Reduction in CO2 Emissions by 2050 Relative to 2005 is Achievable (26/Mar/15)
--30% reduction --matching U.S. Target--by 2030
--Japan must lead international debate on the prevention of global warming

Joint Proposals: Tokyo Financial City Vision

Vitalizing Japan' s Financial and Capital Markets as a Pillar to the New Growth Strategy (16/May/14)
Outline / Joint Proposals


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