Last Updated Dec 5, 2016
What's New News Archives

JCER Monthly GDP Estimate New!

Japan's GDP rose 0.2% in October (2/Dec/2016)

Japan Financial Research New!

BOJ's JGB Purchasing Limits to be Reached in Summer 2017
- Is the Bank carrying out Fiscal Policy?
(28/NOV/16)

World Business Climate Index

September: World climate deteoriorates by 0.1 point.
-The U.S. is at a standstill, though BRICS have improved
(16/Nov/16)

Medium Term Forecast

The 43rd Medium-Term Economic Forecast for the Japanese Economy: FY2016-FY2030 (Baseline scenario) The Japanese Economy to Plunge to Zero Growth- The Economy Caught in a "Bearish Trap" (14/Nov/2016)

ESP Forecast

CPI Inflation Will Not Reach 1% until FY2018 (10/Nov/16)

Japanese Economy Update by Jun Saito

Whatever Happened to the Portfolio Rebalancing Effect? (8/Nov/16)

Asian Economic Forecasts: 2016-2030

JCER released its first Medium-Term Asian Economic Forecast for 2016-30.
The summary of the forecast and the related reports are found here. (31/Oct/2016)
The forecast was carried in the Nikkei Asian Review. Please visit here. (28/Sep/2016)

AEPR meeting on "China's Financial Transformation"

The 24th conference of Asian Economic Policy Review (AEPR) was held in Tokyo in October, 2016 and the issues on "China's Financial Transformation" were discussed. The working papers are here. The conference was reported in the Nikkei Asian Review. The article is here. (27/Oct/16)

JCER/Nikkei Consensus Survey on Asian Economies

"Asian economies return to pre-Brexit growth" (12/Oct/16)
India is expected to grow around 8% through 2018/19; ASEAN5 maintain gradual rise at 4.4-4.7% in 2016-18. Markets, China slowdown are big risks. The article of the survey on the Nikkei Asian Review is from here.

JCER's revised middle-term forecast for China and four major Southeast Asian countries was carried in the Nikkei Asian Review website. (28/Sep/16)

JCER's latest North Korea report was carried in the Nikkei Asian Review website. (7/Sep/16)

JCER's latest North Korea report was carried in the Nikkei Asian Review website. (30/Aug/16)

Building an ICT-driven economy & society

Potential of Investments in Information and Communications Technology-- Using ICT for Interaction with Customers Is Key (27/Jul/16)

JCER's revised short-term forecast for China and four major Southeast Asian countries was carried in the Nikkei Asian Review website. (27/Jul/16)

Asian Economic Policy Review (AEPR)

The July 2016 issue of AEPR (Vol. 11, Issue 2) on "Connectivity and Infrastructure" was published. Visit here for more information. (26/Jul/16)

JCER/Nikkei Consensus Survey on Asian Economies

"Growth revised down; Brexit adds uncertainty" (13/Jul/16)
Economists revised down their forecasts on growth for several Asian countries for 2016 and beyond, as the referendum in the U.K. on remaining in the European Union, known as Brexit, was won by the leave camp.
The article of the survey on the Nikkei Asian Review is from here.

The articles were carried in the "Discuss Japan" web magazine.

• The Bank of Japan Can Continue Quantitative and Qualitative Monetary Easing for Only Two More Years: The Adoption of Negative Interest Rates Is Proposed
——Eliminating the Zero Lower Bound is Crucial

by IWATA Kazumasa, President of the Japan Center for Economic Research
• Interview: Preventing Deflationary Pressure from Flaring Up Again
—— Investors Placing Funds in Assets Other Than Government Bonds

by IWATA Kazumasa, President of the Japan Center for Economic Research (5/Jun/16)

The article was carried in the Nikkei Asian Review website.

Efforts to foster fintech entrepreneurs get rolling (24/Jun/16)

Policy Proposal

Time schedule for tax and social security reform should be prepared within two years (27/APR/16)

The new report analyzes the politics, the economies and the foreign policies of North Korea under Kim Jong-un's regime. It also refers to the situation and future prospects of Japan-South Korea relations. The report is an outcome of JCER's special project last year, which leading experts on the issues joined from Japan and South Korea. Latest information is added. (10/May/2016)

The 23rd conference of Asian Economic Policy Review (AEPR) was held in Tokyo in April, 2016. The theme was "Labor, Health and Education in Asia - Analysis of Micro Data." The working papers proposed are found here. (22/Apr/16)

JCER/Nikkei Consensus Survey on Asian Economies

"ASEAN5 4.3%, India 7.7% for 2016, speed up into 2018
-Setback of reforms, further China slowdown seen as big risks"
(18/Apr/16)
ASEAN5 and India are set to maintain their current growth rated in 2016 before accelerating into 2018. Setback in expectations for economic reform and further slowdown of Chinese economy are seen as big risks – these are the findings of first survey.
The article of the survey on the Nikkei Asian Review is from here.

Asian Economic Policy Review (AEPR)

The January 2016 issue of AEPR (Vol. 11, Issue 1) on "the Economics of Sport in Asia" was published. Visit here for more information. (2/Feb/16)

The article was carried in the Nikkei Asian Review website.

Cambodia making a play for more factories (22/Jan/16)

The article was carried in the Nikkei Asian Review website.

Companies flee Bangkok in search of cheap labor (21/Jan/16)

The article was carried in the Nikkei Asian Review website.

In need of foreign funds, North Korea courts tourists (17/Dec/15)

The article was carried in the Nikkei Asian Review website.

In an economic bind, Pyongyang dances around reform (26/Nov/15)

The article was carried in the Nikkei Asian Review website.

US rate hike won't derail Asian growth (7/Jan/16)

The 22nd AEPR conference on "Connectivity and Infrastructure" was held in Tokyo in October, 2015. The conference was reported in the Nikkei Asian Review. The article is here. The working papers proposed are found here. (5/Nov/15)

JCER Seminar: Japan's Economic Prospects 2015

Can a Nation Survive with a Shrinking Population? Jun Saito (27/Oct/15)

JCER Staff Report

Alternative Estimates of China's GDP Deflator: 2015Q3 Update (28/Oct/15)
The estimates of China's GDP deflator and real GDP growth are updated based the July-September data.

China's True Growth Rate: Is It Really 7%? (15/Oct/15)
JCER's own estimates for the controversial China's GDP are different from the figures officially announced by the Chinese government. The GDP growth for April June may be 4.8-6.5%, not 7%. The coverage of the report by the Nikkei Asian Review is found here.

Policy School by Heizo Takenaka

Parsing Japan's latest fiscal and economic blueprint
(3/Aug/15)

Asia Research Report

ASEAN Economic Integration-How Much Progress Has Been Made ? (4/Jun/15)

Vision 2050

60% Reduction in CO2 Emissions by 2050 Relative to 2005 is Achievable (26/Mar/15)
--30% reduction --matching U.S. Target--by 2030
--Japan must lead international debate on the prevention of global warming

Joint Proposals: Tokyo Financial City Vision

Vitalizing Japan' s Financial and Capital Markets as a Pillar to the New Growth Strategy (16/May/14)
Outline / Joint Proposals

Access / Map