Recession Indicator
＜Reference value＞May: The Recession Indicator marks 28.6%
－ The Leading Index rose for the first time in three months
2020/07/08
The Recession Indicator (reference value*) in May 2020 marks 28.6% (Figure 1). The probability declined from last month because the Leading Index as the underlying data of calculation, rose for
>Read more- 2020/07/08
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＜Reference value＞May: The Recession Indicator marks 28.6%
－ The Leading Index rose for the first time in three months
- 2020/06/10
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Official release of the recession indicator temporarily suspended: A sharp decline in the leading index due to the Coronavirus crisis distorts the probability
－ Until the estimation method is revised, the reference value will continue to be calculated
－ The reference value for April is 59.4%
