$1.7 trillion lost because of COVID-19 crisis in Asia
-- In 2020, the service industry suffered a serious setback
-- Growing debt may have a medium-term negative effect
The Asian Medium-term Economic Forecast Team will be releasing timely reports in advance of the medium-term forecast to be released in December. As the first report, we estimated the losses that the COVID-19 crisis has incurred to Asia.
The service industry, including tourism, has experienced severe damage in Asia. In 2020, the year of the outbreak of the novel coronavirus, the overall economic losses of 15 Asian countries and regions, including Japan, amounted to about $1.7 trillion in terms of gross domestic product (GDP). Countries with high growth rates during ordinary times, such as India and the ASEAN5, were impacted the hardest, and the decline was especially severe in the service industry, including food services and tourism. The effects of the COVID-19 crisis on the supply and demand structure may persist in the medium-term; we examine the impact on the industry from the GDP output perspective in 2020.
Lost income from COVID-19 crisis: nominal GDP
Note:GDP in the absence of the COVID-19 crisis was based on International Monetary Fund (IMF) projections (World Economic outlook) as of October 2019, before the outbreak of the novel coronavirus became apparent.
Source: CEIC, Haver Analytics, IMF
-- Taiwan set to overtake Japan in 2022 in terms of GDP per capita
Medium-Term Forecast of Asian Economies December 2022 Issue 2022-2035
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Short-term Forecast on Asian Economies March 2022 forecast 2022Q1-2024Q1
-- Japan ranks 16th in JCER’s newly developed index
Medium-Term Forecast of Asian Economies
Short-term Forecast on Asian Economies December 2021 forecast 2021Q4-2024Q1