Back to List
Short Term Economic Forecast Quarterly Forecast of the Japanese Economy (No.178/2019/4-6 - 2021/1-3)

A Shift in Economy from “Moderate Expansion” to “Deceleration”

―The US−China Trade Disputes Slowing Recovery―

Research Director:Shinichi NISHIOKA
  Chief Forecaster
Deputy Director:Takashi MIYAZAKI
  Senior Economist
Deputy Director:Eriko TAKAHASHI
  Senior Economist

2019/05/31

JCER releases short-term economic forecasts for the Japanese economy every quarter. These projections are published in February, May, August and November. JCER's forecasting approach follows the "Successive/Sequential Approximation (SA)" method, in which data up to the most recent quarter are analyzed to provide estimates for an 18-24 month period.

SA176-Eng

Back issues of our quarterly forecasts can be accessed HERE

2022/04/01

Sluggish Growth after a Good Start in Fiscal Year 2022

Risk of Negative Growth in Fiscal Year 2023 Enhanced by a Prolongation of the Russia-Ukraine War

Quarterly Forecast of the Japanese Economy No.189R2022/1-3 - 2024/1-3

Research Director:Kei-Ichiro INABA/ Deputy Director:Akira TANAKA/ Deputy Director:Tomoki MATSUO

2021/12/27

Enduring Supply Constraints, an Economic Rebound through the First Part of Fiscal Year 2022

Fiscal and Tax Policy Stimulus for Private Capital Investment Helpful for Hedging Negative Growth Risk in Fiscal Year 2023

Quarterly Forecast of the Japanese Economy No.188R2021/10-12 - 2024/1-3

Research Director:Kei-Ichiro INABA/ Deputy Director:Akira TANAKA/ Deputy Director:Tomoki MATSUO

2021/09/30

Economic Rebound in Fiscal Year 2021 Reduced by the Delta Variant

The Evolution of Medical Administration Helpful for Boosting Economy

Quarterly Forecast of the Japanese Economy No.187R2021/7-9 - 2023/1-3

Research Director:Kei-Ichiro INABA/ Deputy Director:Akira TANAKA/ Deputy Director:Tomoki MATSUO

2021/06/30

From Rebound in Fiscal Year 2021 to Moderate Recovery in Fiscal Year 2022

Promote the Realization of Pent-up Demand by Advancing Vaccination

Quarterly Forecast of the Japanese Economy No.186R2021/4-6 - 2023/1-3

Research Director:Kei-Ichiro INABA/ Deputy Director:Tomoki MATSUO

2021/04/05

Economic recovery to struggle along until the end of FY2022

Business people’s managerial competence and animal spirits are essential to investing in growth

Quarterly Forecast of the Japanese Economy No.185R2021/1-3 - 2023/1-3

Research Director:Kei-Ichiro INABA/ Deputy Director:Yuto KAJITA/ Deputy Director:Tomoki MATSUO