Economic slowdown and a prolonged friction between the US and China
―Depressed external demand covered by domestic demand―
2019/09/11
JCER releases short-term economic forecasts for the Japanese economy every quarter. These projections are published in February, May, August and November. JCER's forecasting approach follows the "Successive/Sequential Approximation (SA)" method, in which data up to the most recent quarter are analyzed to provide estimates for an 18-24 month period.
Back issues of our quarterly forecasts can be accessed HERE
- 2021/01/12
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Japan’s Economic Recovery Fraught with Momentum-Losing Risks
Quarterly Forecast of the Japanese Economy No.184R2020/10-12 - 2023/1-3
- 2020/09/10
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Japan’s Economic Recovery and Policy Challenges in the COVID-19 Era
Quarterly Forecast of the Japanese Economy No.183R2020/7-9 - 2022/1-3
- 2020/06/02
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The Japanese Economy will Contract by 7% in FY 2020 Even with Gradual Resumption of Economic Activity
Quarterly Forecast of the Japanese Economy No.1822020/4-6 - 2022/1-3
- 2020/03/03
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New Coronavirus Hits Japanese Economy
―Near-Zero Growth Rate in FY 2020 for Third Consecutive Year―
Quarterly Forecast of the Japanese Economy No.1812020/1-3 - 2022/1-3
- 2019/12/05
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Delayed economic recovery and a prolonged manufacturing slump
―The global economy is at its weakest in 10 years; domestic public- and private-sector investment is key―
Quarterly Forecast of the Japanese Economy No.1802019/10-12 - 2022/1-3