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Short Term Quarterly Forecast of the Japanese Economy (No.186R/2021/4-6 - 2023/1-3)

From Rebound in Fiscal Year 2021 to Moderate Recovery in Fiscal Year 2022

Promote the Realization of Pent-up Demand by Advancing Vaccination

Research Director:Kei-Ichiro INABA
  Chief Forecaster
Deputy Director:Tomoki MATSUO
  Economist

2021/06/30

JCER releases short-term economic forecasts for the Japanese economy every quarter. These projections are published in February, May, August and November. JCER's forecasting approach follows the "Successive/Sequential Approximation (SA)" method, in which data up to the most recent quarter are analyzed to provide estimates for an 18-24 month period.

SA186R-Eng

Back issues of our quarterly forecasts can be accessed HERE

2021/06/30

From Rebound in Fiscal Year 2021 to Moderate Recovery in Fiscal Year 2022

Promote the Realization of Pent-up Demand by Advancing Vaccination

Quarterly Forecast of the Japanese Economy No.186R2021/4-6 - 2023/1-3

Research Director:Kei-Ichiro INABA/ Deputy Director:Tomoki MATSUO

2021/04/05

Economic recovery to struggle along until the end of FY2022

Business people’s managerial competence and animal spirits are essential to investing in growth

Quarterly Forecast of the Japanese Economy No.185R2021/1-3 - 2023/1-3

Research Director:Kei-Ichiro INABA/ Deputy Director:Yuto KAJITA/ Deputy Director:Tomoki MATSUO

2021/01/12

Japan’s Economic Recovery Fraught with Momentum-Losing Risks

Quarterly Forecast of the Japanese Economy No.184R2020/10-12 - 2023/1-3

Research Director:Kei-Ichiro INABA/ Deputy Director:Yuto KAJITA/ Deputy Director:Tomoki MATSUO

2020/09/10

Japan’s Economic Recovery and Policy Challenges in the COVID-19 Era

Quarterly Forecast of the Japanese Economy No.183R2020/7-9 - 2022/1-3

Research Director:Kei-Ichiro INABA/ Deputy Director:Yuto KAJITA/ Deputy Director:Tomoki MATSUO

2020/06/02

The Japanese Economy will Contract by 7% in FY 2020 Even with Gradual Resumption of Economic Activity

Quarterly Forecast of the Japanese Economy No.1822020/4-6 - 2022/1-3

Research Director:Shinichi NISHIOKA/ Deputy Director:Akira TANAKA/ Deputy Director:Yuto KAJITA