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Short Term Economic Forecast Quarterly Forecast of the Japanese Economy (No.184R/2020/10-12 - 2023/1-3)

Japan’s Economic Recovery Fraught with Momentum-Losing Risks

Research Director:Kei-Ichiro INABA
  Chief Forecaster
Deputy Director:Yuto KAJITA
  Senior Economist
Deputy Director:Tomoki MATSUO
  Senior Economist

2021/01/12

JCER releases short-term economic forecasts for the Japanese economy every quarter. These projections are published in February, May, August and November. JCER's forecasting approach follows the "Successive/Sequential Approximation (SA)" method, in which data up to the most recent quarter are analyzed to provide estimates for an 18-24 month period.

SA184R-Eng

Back issues of our quarterly forecasts can be accessed HERE

2022/09/09

SA191R Short-Term Forecast

Quarterly Forecast of the Japanese Economy No.1912022/7-9 - 2024/1-3

Research Director:Yoichi UENO/ Deputy Director:Takashi MIYAZAKI/ Deputy Director:Tetsuaki TAKANO

2022/06/16

Stagnant Growth after a Good Start in the Fiscal Year 2022

Fiscal and Tax Policy Stimulus for Private Capital Investment Helpful for Hedging Zero Growth Risk in the Fiscal Year 2023

Quarterly Forecast of the Japanese Economy No.190R2022/4-6 - 2024/1-3

Research Director:Kei-Ichiro INABA/ Deputy Director:Tomoki MATSUO

2022/04/01

Sluggish Growth after a Good Start in Fiscal Year 2022

Risk of Negative Growth in Fiscal Year 2023 Enhanced by a Prolongation of the Russia-Ukraine War

Quarterly Forecast of the Japanese Economy No.189R2022/1-3 - 2024/1-3

Research Director:Kei-Ichiro INABA/ Deputy Director:Akira TANAKA/ Deputy Director:Tomoki MATSUO

2021/12/27

Enduring Supply Constraints, an Economic Rebound through the First Part of Fiscal Year 2022

Fiscal and Tax Policy Stimulus for Private Capital Investment Helpful for Hedging Negative Growth Risk in Fiscal Year 2023

Quarterly Forecast of the Japanese Economy No.188R2021/10-12 - 2024/1-3

Research Director:Kei-Ichiro INABA/ Deputy Director:Akira TANAKA/ Deputy Director:Tomoki MATSUO

2021/09/30

Economic Rebound in Fiscal Year 2021 Reduced by the Delta Variant

The Evolution of Medical Administration Helpful for Boosting Economy

Quarterly Forecast of the Japanese Economy No.187R2021/7-9 - 2023/1-3

Research Director:Kei-Ichiro INABA/ Deputy Director:Akira TANAKA/ Deputy Director:Tomoki MATSUO