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Long Term Long-Term Forecast and Policy Proposal

Vision 2050: Maintain Position as a First-tier Nation

- World Economic Map in 2050
- Establish National Targets to Stabilize Population Decline

 

2014/04/08

This is an integrated report of our long-term forecast and policy proposal project commemorating 50th anniversary of our foundation. It contains two analyses. One is “World Economic Map in 2050” which we drew based on our long-term forecast. We predicted a possible slowing in the Chinese economy, which lacks some of essential institutional properties sustaining economic growth, such as political stability and economic liberalization to promote creative destruction while it stays under the current political regime. The other is our appeal that Japan should establish national targets to halt its population decline to remain as “A First-tier Nation” still in the future. We propose to expand family allowances especially for those who raise second and third children by following France’s example which has succeeded in improving both fertility rates and female labor participation.

2014/04/08

Vision 2050: Maintain Position as a First-tier Nation

- World Economic Map in 2050
- Establish National Targets to Stabilize Population Decline

Long-Term Forecast and Policy Proposal

2007/01/17

Demographic Change and the Asian Economy

Long-term Forecast of Global Economy and Population 2006-2050

2006-2050

Research Director:Takao KOMINE/ Assistant Director:Shigesaburo Kabe (Senior Economist)