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Asia Forecast Short-term Forecast on Asian Economies (August 2018 forecast /2018Q3~2020Q1)

Moderate Growth led by Steady Domestic Demand

―Concern deepens over Trade Friction and Currency Depreciation

Research Director:Shinichi NISHIOKA
  Chief Forecaster
Deputy Director:Eriko TAKAHASHI
  Senior Economist
Hisatoshi AOYAMA Trainee Economists
   
Kenta DOMOTO Trainee Economists
   
Yutaro YAMADA Trainee Economists
   

2018/08/30

JCER released August 2018 forecast on Asian Economies. The original report in Japanese is here

China/ASEAN4 Economic Outlook 
- 2018 Q2 GDP continued on a trajectory of moderate growth in China and ASEAN4, owing to steady domestic demand. However, there is concern over rising trade friction and currency depreciation.
- China’s GDP outlook for 2018 has been revised upward due to stronger-than-expected economic performance in the first half of 2018.
- The 2018 economic outlook for ASEAN4 has been lowered from our previous forecast. Growth in Indonesia and Philippines for both 2018 and 2019 has been revised downward, taking into account the impact of the recent interest rate hikes. Thailand’s forecast has been revised upward due to positive income effects supported by strong domestic and external demand. The growth trajectory of Malaysia has been revised, considering the impact of measures announced by the new government.

Asia Short-term forecast 20180830

This forecast is a part of the Short Term forecast No.175.

2022/03/17

Currently Limited Negative Impacts of the Russia-Ukraine War

Short-term Forecast on Asian Economies March 2022 forecast 2022Q1-2024Q1

Research Director:Kei-Ichiro INABA/ Deputy Director:Akira TANAKA/ Asia Forecast Team:Eriko TAKAHASHI/ Riki KOHANA Trainee Economist

2022/02/18

Sweden ranks first globally in Digital Potential

-- Japan ranks 16th in JCER’s newly developed index

Medium-Term Forecast of Asian Economies

Eriko TAKAHASHIAtsushi TOMIYAMA

2021/12/22

Moderate Recovery in China and ASEAN4 Supported by Private Consumption

Short-term Forecast on Asian Economies December 2021 forecast 2021Q4-2024Q1

Research Director:Kei-Ichiro INABA/ Deputy Director:Akira TANAKA/ Asia Forecast Team:Eriko TAKAHASHI/ Taiki TANAKA Trainee Economist

2021/12/15

China to become the world’s largest economy in 2033

-- Korea set to overtake Japan in 2027 in terms of GDP per capita

Medium-Term Forecast of Asian Economies December 2021 Issue 2021-2035

Director:Atsushi TOMIYAMATetsuaki TAKANOEriko TAKAHASHITamaki SAKURA/ Daisuke MARUYAMA/ Masashi UEHARAGo YAMADA

2021/10/25

$1.7 trillion lost because of COVID-19 crisis in Asia

-- In 2020, the service industry suffered a serious setback
-- Growing debt may have a medium-term negative effect

Medium-Term Forecast of Asian Economies

Daisuke MARUYAMA Economist/ Tetsuaki TAKANO