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In the new phase of monetary easing, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) has purchased large amounts of long-term JGBs from financial institutions and driven down the returns on safe assets, thus encouraging financial institutions to take risks (portfolio rebalancing). Meanwhile, regional financial institutions such as regional banks I, regional banks II and shinkin banks have all reduced their holdings of JGBs whilst increasing riskier assets such as lending, especially real estate lending and housing loans, and foreign bonds and stocks. However, starting the fiscal year ending March 31, 2019, new Interest Rate Risk in the Banking Book (IRRBB) standards will be applied to domestic banks. It is feared that this will bring to light the excessive levels of interest rate risk that have been taken at certain regional financial institutions. In regions experiencing marked decline in population and the number of companies, demand for loans is weak and, as the profit margins of regional financial institutions continue being squeezed, the revised IRRBB could put downward pressure on potential earnings. The transitional arrangements for implementing new domestic standards in response to Basel III will also be phased out in the future.
Financial Research Risks facing regional financial institutions
(No. 39)
Rise in interest rate risk of regional banks under new phase of monetary easing
- Application of new interest rate risk standard to domestic banks from the fiscal year ending March 31, 2019
2019/02/08
- 2023/04/19
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If the YCC is Lifted, Long-term Interest Rates could Rise to 0.8–1.1%; Aftermath for Businesses and Public Finances
- 2023/04/19
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Need to revise YCC, but burden on households and banks could increase
1% increase in adjustable mortgage rates increases early repayment probability by 25% - 2022/09/08
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Investment in CO2 capture technology is key to achieving a decarbonized society
- 2022/08/24
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The Actual State of Branch Consolidation in Japanese Banks
- 2022/04/27
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Estimating the impact of the Fed’s monetary policy normalization on long-term U.S. interest rates and the beggar-thyself policy effect on Japan if the BOJ maintains easing policy