Kengo TAHARA
Principal Economist
Specialty：Macroeconomics, Forecasting, Agricultural economics
Articles in refereed journals
“Intention to Access Food Risk Information through Internet-enabled Mobile Phones: The Role of Critical Thinking” (2011) Applied Economic Letters (with Hideo Aizaki, Yasuhiro Nakashima, Kiyokazu Ujiie, and Hironobu Takeshita)
“Influence of Information about Agrochemicals Provided via Internet-Enabled Mobile Phones on Consumer Valuation of Food” (2010) Journal of Agricultural and Food Information (with Hideo Aizaki, Yasuhiro Nakashima, Kiyokazu Ujiie, and Hironobu Takeshita)
“The Choice of Participation Forms in Community-Based Group Farming and Efficiency in Team Production” (2009) Contributed paper prepared for presentation at the International Association of Agricultural Economists Conference, Beijing, China, August 2009 (with Shinsaku Nakajima)
“An Econometric Analysis of the Efficacy of Regulation on Farmland Conversion by Means of Farmland Price Data in Japan” (2005) Journal of Rural Economics, Special Issue, The Agricultural Economics Society of Japan (in Japanese)
Articles (non-refereed)
“Japan’s Prolonged Deflation – Implications from Comparison of Japan, U.S. and Korea,” Statistics, 64 (5), Japan Statistical Association, May 2013 (with Nobuyasu Atago, in Japanese)
"Rebalancing of Chinese Economy,” Statistics, 68 (2), Japan Statistical Association, February 2017 (with Hitoshi Sasaki, in Japanese)
Book
Japanese language edition of “Agricultural Policies in OECD Countries / At A Glance 2004,” (2005) Akashi Shoten, joint translation with Shinichi Shogenji, et al.
Publication from JCER (-2017)
Quarterly Forecast of Japanese Economy (SA134 - SA137, April 2008 - March 2009)
Quarterly Forecast of Japanese Economy (SA143 - SA146, July 2010 - May 2011, Deputy Director)
Midsummer Course Correction -- Investors and businesses in US following already bearish households (August 2011)
U.S. housing market -- Bumping along the bottom, but not "Japanized"? (September 2011)
Immigration expected to help sustain replenishing the U.S. labor force (November 2011)
U.S. pushing ahead with trans-Pacific trade negotiations, early resolution unlikely (December 2011)
Wavering choices of the U.S. regarding the alternative energy to oil (January 2012)
Will the negative wealth effect, from falling home values, lead to less consumption growth? --Yes, and with a slow recovery in income growth, the result is a drawn out overall recovery (February 2012)
Quarterly Forecast of Japanese Economy (SA151 - SA154, July 2012 - June 2013, Deputy Director)
Medium-Term Economic Forecast (2013-25) "Scenario for Achieving Both Economic Growth and Fiscal Consolidation - Verifying Japan’s Economic Fundamentals" (Deputy Director), March 2014 (original in Japanese)
Quarterly Forecast of Japanese Economy (SA158 - SA159, April 2014 - September 2014, Deputy Director)
Short-term Forecast on Asian Economies (January 2015 - February 2018)
"Economic Prospects in China and ASEAN4 - China’s slowdown weighs on Asia while AEC will be a tailwind", English abstract of Medium-Term Forecast of Asian Economies : 2015-2025 (Assistant Deputy Director), July 2015
"China’s True Growth Rate: Is It Really 7%?", JCER Staff Report (with Hideaki Matsuoka and Tsuyoshi Minami), October 2015
"Economic Prospects in China and ASEAN4 - China’s Growth Continues to Slow, Philippines and Indonesia Hold Steady", English abstract of Medium-Term Forecast of Asian Economies : 2016-2030 (Deputy Director), September 2016
"Digital Asia 5.0 - Innovation Changes Economic Power Relationships", English abstract of Medium-Term Forecast of Asian Economies : 2017-2030 (Deputy Director), December 2017
Biography
Career
Apr. 2008 - present: Japan Center for Economic Research
Jun. 2011 - May 2012: Economic Internship at the Conference Board (New York)
Education
Apr. 2005 - Mar. 2008: Doctoral research in Agricultural Economics, University of Tokyo (withdrawn with the completion of course requirements)
Apr. 2003 - Mar. 2005: MSc. Agricultural Economics, University of Tokyo
Apr. 1999 - Mar. 2003: BSc. Agriculture, University of Tokyo
