Asian Economies in Turmoil Under the Trump Administration
― China’s Structural Risks Still Remain
2024/12/18
The Japan Center for Economic Research (JCER) released its 10th Medium-term Asian Economic Forecast, which projects GDP growth for 18 countries and regions in the Asia-Pacific region, from 2024 through 2035.
The forecast covers 15 major Asian countries and regions, and the U.S., Australia and Canada for comparison. It extends over a time horizon of 12 years (2024-2035), six years longer than the IMF’s (International Monetary Fund) World Economic Outlook, which provides forecasts through 2029. Unlike the Asian Development Bank, which focuses on the current growth rate of developing countries in Asia, JCER’s Asian Outlook is a long-term, comprehensive forecast of the Asian economy.
In this report, we base our forecast on the “Digital Potential” (JCER Digital Potential Index) and the policies of the incoming Trump administration.
Real GDP Growth Rates of 18 Countries/ Regions
Source: IMF, forecast by JCER
- 2025/12/15
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Asia Sustains Growth Amid The Uncertainty of US Tariffs
Medium-Term Forecast of Asian Economies December 2025 Issue 2025-2040
- 2024/12/18
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Asian Economies in Turmoil Under the Trump Administration
― China’s Structural Risks Still Remain
Medium-Term Forecast of Asian Economies December 2024 Issue 2024-2035
- 2023/12/18
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China’s Growth Rate Below 3% after 2029
― Zero Growth in 2027 if Real Estate Bubble Bursts
Medium-Term Forecast of Asian Economies December 2023 Issue 2023-2035
- 2022/12/15
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China’s GDP will not surpass that of the U.S.
-- Taiwan set to overtake Japan in 2022 in terms of GDP per capita
Medium-Term Forecast of Asian Economies December 2022 Issue 2022-2035
- 2022/06/14
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China’s Zero-COVID Policy Puts Downward Pressures on China and ASEAN4
Short-term Forecast on Asian Economies June 2022 forecast 2022Q2-2024Q1
